Beware of call for Police State

We are witnessing a very dangerous trend of liberal democracies with universal human rights and freedoms mutating into a authoritarian police states.
One example for this concern is a recent speech and the underlying thinking of the FBI Director James Comey as reported in the NZ Herald. Comey “warns against the push by technology companies to encrypt smartphone data and operating systems, arguing that murder cases could be stalled, suspects could walk free and justice could be thwarted by a locked phone or an encrypted hard drive“. Even if he had to admit that he didn’t have an example of that yet Comey said: “Logic tells me there are going to be cases like that“.

The idea behind his attack on encryption is worth thinking about. Since when is the aim to convict criminals paramount over all other considerations like the universal right to privacy and free speech or more specific to criminal procedures the right to a fair trial ? The history of the criminal justice system is full of cases where people literally got away with murder because the police made mistakes and evidence became inadmissible. It is one of the most basic principles of the rule of law that it applies foremost to the powers of the state. The thinking of none other than the Director of the FBI trowing all this overboard just to secure convictions is very dangerous indeed. He is obviously unable – beyond his brief as the top cop – to see the fundamental human values and rights to privacy and free speech. The issue is reduced to “Encryption isn’t just a technical feature. It’s a marketing pitch.
We can only hope that the lawmakers in the US – and in New Zealand for that matter where similar calls were heard – hold the line and protect the rights of all of us not just criminals

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Rod Oram : Defend the right to debate

If you haven’t read Rod Oram’s latest column yet please do !

It hasn’t stopped to amaze me how brilliantly the government spin worked in the lead-up to the recent election. It had almost an Orwellian quality of turning the meaning of words into the opposite (war is peace and peace is war).

Dirty tricks of the ‘Right’ as revealed by Nicky Hager turned into a conspiracy of the ‘Left’.

This reminds me of a conversation I had with a friend on the evening of the release of “Dirty Politics”, which happened just before the six o’clock news. Nobody had read the book and knew what to make of it. Was it any good and based on facts or was it just a bad election hatched job full of falsehoods ?
My friend said that we only would have to watch the reaction the next morning. If the book was bad and full of falsehoods the government would attack the book and point out mistakes. If not they would attack the author. The reaction in the morning gave us the clear answer about the quality of the book. It was obviously untouchable.
The irony was that John Key already attacked the author as a leftwing conspiracy theorist well before he  even knew what the book was about. At that time he suspected that it was going to be about spying and the GCSB.

This just goes to show how spin works totally detached from the facts. You only have to repeat it on end and you can turn truth into falsehood and falsehood into truth.

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A seat at the Big Table – let’s live up to our good ‘brand’

Even if you don’t suffer from Colonial cringe and overly rejoice at every sporting win over the Imperials or the bigger cousins across the ditch and every other occasion where we ‘punch above our weight’ you have reason to celebrate that New Zealand won a seat on the UN Security Council on the first ballot. It goes to show how much good will New Zealand enjoys around the world. This is no surprise to someone with an overseas experience or background.
Countless commentators listed as reasons for our success, the perception of New Zealand being independent from the big powers (nuclear free stance) and standing up for principle and the little guys (anti-apartheit protests even if it deprived us of one most beloved rugby contest). Our image as the clean green Paradise of the South Pacific, which underpins much of our economic success, also comes into it.
It is a little bit ironic that since those deeds, which put us in the good book of the rest of the world, we had successive leaders of the National Party who either wanted our nuclear policy ‘gone by lunch time’ or can’t even remember where they stood during the Springbok Tour in 1981. And if we are honest with ourselves and for instance look at our rivers we have to admit that we are not as clean and green as we present ourselves to the world.

Now is the time to make an extra effort to be or become true to our brand and be the good little country the world imagines when it puts us at the big table (see).

 

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The Dogs of War, again – how ‘odd’ ?

We are just being prepared for joining another war, again !

I will not argue about the evil of our latest enemy.
However I have a nagging question ever since I arrived in this county well over 30 years ago and fell in love with it and its wonderful friendly people.

Why is it that New Zealand seems so eager to join every war going at the time. Looking back over the 20th century New Zealand was by my rough count part of eight wars and even offering her participation in the Malvinas (Falkland) war, which was thankfully not accepted. In contrast for instance Germany, seen by many first through WWI propaganda and then for the 12 year Nazi regime as militaristic and war mongering, was involved in only three or four wars and the latest only kicking and screaming against their will.
What is it in this far remote allegedly ‘independent’ paradise in the South Pacific that makes us want to join any far away war as soon as we are asked.
The latest reason given by PM Key might have been the reason all along that it would be odd if NZ didn’t join her friends.

Here I envisage a puny little guy standing before a judge after being involved in another gang brawl explaining that it would have been ‘odd’ not to join in with his friends. And I hear the judge saying when are you going to grow up, think for yourself and make your own decisions before you get into a fight.

I always thought it to be one of the greatest and indeed groundbreaking achievements of Helen Clark’s government to at least keep us out of one war, the disastrous Iraq war. We since have fallen back into line stopped thinking and instead honouring our (five eye or other) patch.

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Guest Post: The Sale of the Power Companies

Could it be a Blessing in Disguise?

Many commentators, including this blog, have chastised the government for selling half of its power companies despite strong opposition from the general public.

In the early nineties, I myself was involved in a (successful) campaign to prevent the sale of the Manapouri power scheme to Comalco. Our reasoning was that the old hydro systems were a licence to print money. This is because, in our wholesale market, the electricity price for all generation is determined not the lowest but by the highest bidder. As new and more expensive stations come on line, everybody else then just hikes their price up to that new level. This is called shadow pricing, also well established in the market for crude oil.

Here is my prediction: This very convenient business model will fall apart during the next decade. Solar electricity will become even cheaper than it is now, so that more of the electricity demand will be met by roof-top photovoltaics (PV). Once that happens, the big power stations will progressively be mothballed or relegated to stand-by. This in turn will cap the price of electricity because the most expensive generation is retired first.

Up to now, electricity supply is from limited resources where increased supply results in ever higher cost: one has to drill and dig deeper for fossil fuels. It even applies to hydro, where the limited resource, of course, is not the water but the sites where hydro stations can be built profitably. The progress of PV then turns the supply from being from a limited resource into a truly unlimited resource for the next fife billion years: solar radiation.

In other words: The factor governing prices will no longer be the rising cost of new power stations and their fuel but the falling cost of PV.

Another point: For now, it does not make sense to disconnect an existing dwelling from the grid and use batteries instead. Being independent from the grid makes sense only if a dwelling is new, and the cost of batteries can be offset by saving the cost of the power lines between the grid and the new dwelling. However, as batteries will get cheaper and last longer, this too will change. At some point the monthly cost of batteries (depreciation) will be no more than the lines charge. At that point all hell will break loose. People will disconnect themselves from the grid in droves, which makes the supply charge rise for the remaining fewer customers, thereby accelerating the process even more. At the same time it will deprive the power companies of their last weapon against PV: the low credit for power fed into the grid during daytime.

Once the above events happen, the earnings and values of the power companies will deteriorate. In that view, one might have wished the government had sold not only half but all of the shares, and preferably to the Aussies.

Peter Kammler
Warkworth

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About righteous little ‘Pricks’ and righteous big ‘Pricks’

Thank God that she made New Zealand small and economically insignificant. Therefore our Prime Minister responsible for our economic direction is only a righteous little Prick.
Remember some time back when John Key rubbished and demonised the Greens’ Russell Norman’s suggestion – to put it bluntly – print money instead of borrowing it from the banks as being cheaper and better for the struggling economy. In modern speak is is called quantitative easing. Everybody has been doing it, the US, UK, EU and all other leading economies sometimes dragged into it screaming. Even Switzerland not known for economic adventurism a couple of years back threatened to print as many franks as it would take to stop currency speculation hurting their economy. It did stop overnight with some speculators ending up with bloody noses.
Here however John Key killed any rational debate by just name calling Dr. Norman and the Greens as irresponsible economic lunatics. Who is the righteous little Prick then who knows better then the (mainstream) rest of the world.

The big contexts is of course austerity with New Zealand’s obsession with balancing the books at a time when the economy actually needed more spending. Thank God for the Christchurch earthquake where spending by the EQC and insurance companies carried us over the damage the government policy was doing to our fragile economy.

The damage of economic righteousness  is now becoming more and more apparent when you have a righteous big Prick, in this case Germany, doing the damage. As the Huffington Post on 13 October headlines: Germany’s Austerity Obsession Could Take Down The Global Economy. Lately it was mostly the Southern European countries suffering under German righteousness. However austerity fever — egged on by a now-discredited research report that claimed government debt is bad for economies — has been hurting economies around the world since the Great Recession.

When is New Zealand waking up to the fact that this government did and does a lot of damage. Instead we still hail the the little Prick as the great helmsman who steered us successfully through the troubled waters of the global economy.

We said our piece. Now go back to sleep again New Zealand.

 

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One law for all – New Zealanders fighting in foreign wars

New Zealand’s Prime Minister has been swept up in the world wide media storm after the beheading of three Western hostages by ISIS in Syria. What a PR coup for the murderers. Being horrified by the video footage we have forgotten about 3000 Palestinians (mostly women and children) killed in Gaza or 300000 Syrians (mostly civilians) killed in their civil war. Instead of keeping cool heads in this serious situation it looks like the government is following the great example of Australia’s Tony Abbot by shooting from the hip.

If the Prime Minister is really considering a hard-line change similar to Australia’s to detain those suspected of heading off to fight overseas and deal with those returning, as reported in the NZ Herald,  we are all for it. However we would of course expect it to be one law for all. We can’t wait to see our SAS troops heading for war in the Middle East being arrested at Auckland airport.
If we only have had a law like that 100 years ago. Thousands of young New Zealanders would not have been killed or wounded in a senseless foreign war and/or come back thoroughly terrorised and brutalised.
How wonderful that would have been and still would be today.

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Nicky Hager Raid: It doesn’t smell – it stinks

The media reaction to the police raid on Nicky Hager’s house was predictable. See for instance the NZ Herald editorial on Friday 10 October. It is too close to home for them as well and they are right to be scared. This goes at least for the media, who take their jobs seriously and are not just cheerleaders for this National government.
We have to say that the police acted with a warrant issued by a judge and therefore the legality of their action cannot be questioned at this stage. However there doesn’t seem to be one and the same law for all.

If you break into a Labour Party computer and access confidential data and even boast about it to your political friends that seems to be ok with the police. No discernible action taken. Wouldn’t it be nice to have Mr Slater’s computer and other gadgets taken from him – and he is not just a witness but a perpetrator – to give us a break from his Hate Blog. There would even be a good chance that the police would find the evidence they would be looking for as Mr Slater proved to be stupid and lax with his precautions.

On the other hand Nicky Hager is not stupid and one would be very surprised if the police would find anything to identify the offender they are looking for. However they will find heaps of stuff any self-respecting journalist wouldn’t want anybody to see the least the government.

The timing is also revealing as one of the first acts of the new government after the election because it cannot be described otherwise. How else can a reasonable observer explain the difference between the police action and in-action other than being political. The police know who their masters are and don’t even need to be told.

And here is the thing. New Zealand once prided itself as not being corrupt where police acted at arms length without political influence. These times are truly gone. The police seem to make a habit of doing political favours to their masters especially concerning incidents around election time. Remember the persecution of the hapless cameraman unintentionally leaving his microphone in a very public place where Mr Key and the convicted fraudster Mr Banks had tea.

The only results so far have not been legal victories for the police but more or less successful intimidation not just of the victims of their actions but everyone critical of the government. That seems to be the (only) intention.

We are looking at corruption when we see that the government puts their cronies in charge of security services and then uses them for their own political benefit (like expediently dealing with Official Information Act requests). And now the police.

The real scary part is that the government is now using the old chestnut of “terrorism” to ever increase the police and security services powers to control its own people. Does anybody remember the “terrorism” of 1933 – the burning of the Reichstag/Parliament building in Berlin – and what happened next ?

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Open letter to Gareth Morgan re Green Party

Dear Gareth Morgan
We have followed your contributions to public discussion since the crazy days past 1984 when you were one true blue apostle of Roger Douglas’ neoliberal/neoconservative revolution. Then you seemed to have had sort of an epiphany during your motorbike rides across the globe. We detected some enlightened views when you crossed from Latin America to the USA from abject poverty to abundance. Then you seem to have spend some of your windfall on worthy causes like the Wellington Phoenix and environmental issues. However we now have to realise that deep down you have not changed that much from the economist of old.

On your blog of 23 September ‘Time for a Bluegreen Party‘ you as you later said slagged off the Green Party (1 October ‘Open Letter to Green Party Supporters: Why I slagged off your Party‘). You don’t seem to realise that in you own argument you contradicted your conclusion. How could the Greens possibly turn blue if (in your own words) “National threatens to propel NZ even further toward environmentally-degrading economic growth rather than the ideal of strong economic growth in harmony with environmental protection” or “National’s is more a green wash than a serious commitment to clever and clean growth.”
In reality the differences between National and the Green Party are not that much on environmental but on economic and for that matter social policies.
Here you show your true colours with the old chestnut of “the Green Party a real melon to mainstream New Zealand – a watermelon to be precise, far too red on the inside for middle New Zealand to stomach.” And the old tactic of name calling “rehashed socialism“( BooHoo, reds under the bed) instead of entering into an intelligent rational discussion and finding actual fault in the Green’s policies. This is disappointing as we expect better of you.
We remind you that New Zealand had a blue-green Party before  called “Progressive Greens” contesting the 1996 elections getting 0.26 % of the vote. Their protagonist are still here as the National Party’s Bluegreens Advisory Group, which according to you “quickly cowers to the priorities of short-term unsustainable growth.”
Have you got any better suggestions how for instance to tackle the according to the Secretary of the UN defining issue of our time Climate Change other then voting for the Green Party.

With kind regards
Dr. Hans B. Grueber

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Capitalism vs Nature, can there be a fair contest ?

In Saturday’s Herald John Roughan looking at the planned reform of the Resource Management Act suggests that there can be a fair contest between the economy and the environment (read more). He refers to decisions about a tunnel and monorail in Fiordland, which were turned down. This however does not give us any comfort as there were not contests between the economy and the environment because these proposals didn’t even make economic sense.
Gary Taylor as quoted is right when he says “economic and environmental matters would compete for primacy. We all know what they would mean for the environment.” We only have to reframe it to match the reality of the contest into Capitalism vs Nature to predict the dire results.
However it is only the old paradigm which turns it into a contest. It is not one or the other. There is (in the long run) no economy without or even against nature. One is based on the other. The sooner we get this into our heads the better for both.

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